IN MEMORIAM
An inspiration to all who knew him, Jaiwalker will be dearly missed. Please join us in praying that his soul rests in peace.
The Kapadia family
PENNIES, PLANKS, AND PEOPLE
India’s finance Minister, Mr. P. Chidamabaram, did the impossible though unavoidable. He went down to Mumbai on October 29 specifically to woo investors in the financial capital and specifically to talk of its people’s proven ability and expertise as well the mega polis’s ever increasing interests in attracting investment to take all of the country forward.
Come to think of it there was a shade of manner in ways he went about it in post-election Congress-led Central Government to carve Mumbai out as say Shanghai in China as a showpiece to the world to draw investors out in and to India.
For not only did he talk of “open gateway to foreign direct investment as well as for Indians to go (investing) global,” but also of targeting Mumbai’s interests and developing it as a global outsourcing hub for financial services and a trading hub for bullion and currency markets.
How splendid!
But he also did the unthinkable. He surely was to do it. Inasmuch as investors were required to be encouraged because of the severe shock they had suffered before. But the way he did it appeared to hurt investors rather than assuage them. He talked of the market crash of May 17 which was after the country had voted Congress and the party had enlisted Left members of parliament for support to form a government.
Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensitive Share Index slumped that day 565 points as the crash wiped out Rs.1, 24,00,00 million of investors’ money. Recalling Chidambaram said the Securities and Exchange Board of India, the equivalent of the SEC, was now completing its inquiry into the crash which, he said, was “caused by irrational behavior and perceived fears and anxiety.” e then observedHe then observed that the “culprits are being brought e to book.”
“Culprits” in investors, Mr. Finance Minister? Or simply bewildered people?
So when last week Spitzer discovered that insurance companies paid brokers contingent commissions to buy prospective cover, he sort of sent shockwaves through the insurers as well as companies, financial markets and investors.
Nothing untoward. It’s Spitzer’s business to tell the world how and where the people in authority may be putting them at risk and even serving their interest rather than of those they are to meet.
But in all fairness and much appreciation of AG’s enterprise which borders effervescence, so often Spitzer has looked churly in his outbursts whether at people, like New York Stock Exchange’s former Chairman and CEO, Mr. Richard Grasso, companies, federal fund managers, listed brokers and their security analysts, even informers and the SEC chairman, Mr. William Donaldson.
In the instant case of contingent commissions by insurance companies there are certain qualifying conditions particular to the nature of business. What is more, the companies observe them in their much honored and time tested ways and manners. Maybe, Spitzer knows. Insurance companies in any case do. So they know.
The conditions to briefly enumerate are that in first place the commissions are provided for contingencies as different from normal insurance, secondly, they are payable by the companies to the insurance brokers in case contingency arises and finally, the companies must provide, as must the clients, consent in a contract to cover a contingent situation.
Spitzer surely can pinpoint eventuality. But the parties to the situation can meet the situation as and when it arises. Above all, it is insurance, and not chicken, for insured or insurer to take a chance. The implications otherwise can be far more complex and far reaching.
Spitzer, nevertheless, has made out a case against insurance companies, subpoenaed several, allowed insurance stocks to rile the market and hit investors. On the one hand, some believe the AG has rendered insurance stocks that are at the center of it rather cheap and certain to rebound as the dust let loose by Spitzer settles.
The question then is does Eliot Spitzer remain the AG he is, or also be the market regulator he is, and as which he appears inspired as would believe he may welcome to be as well vis-à-vis his compatriots?
Is it then simply spooks and sensation for him? Or is it also serious purpose?
For regulator’s writ and realm run larger than the Attorney General’s.
Distant, yet nevertheless, on the horizon. So is Chidambaram preparing investors in the meantime? Could they care less? Investment seeks opportunity. Welcome when available. Lost if not around there. No squabbles. No regret.
Why continue to have assurances then without any implementation? And that, too, from the finance minister of a country?
The real reason for Chidamabaram to come to New York and speak up was to tell the 61 communist members of parliament supporting the Congress-led government from the outside that it was implementing the budget proposals.
Even as the budget is passed by parliament, the proposals are still on paper, as they are opposed by the communist MPs. Chidambaram from NY was telling New Delhi MPs what the Government was going to do. He even set some limit in time.
It's a game of wait and see. Not for the international investing community but rather the Government itself actually.
Pervez now is told to honor the commitment. But he is not willing now.
Last month he told 96 per cent of his people want him to be the Army Chief-cum-President. He did not say if that is indefinite. But certainly it is to be that past the set deadline of December 31, 2004.
Islamic Alliance of fundamentalists, which is dominant in the National Assembly, is vehemently opposed to it. What’s more, although President, Pervez cannot enforce the change. Even the military dictator must honor the national assembly, after having elected it to government.
So the national assembly having passed the Constitutional amendment to have him out as Army Chief on December 31 is meeting now to pass another Constitutional amendment annulling the earlier one and continuing with Pervez as Army Chief along with President after the end of this year.
But from dictator Pervez has turned demagogue claiming 96 per cent support of his people. Why not be a leader then and be with them a commoner instead of military general?
Good question the man-on-the-street may say. But the commoner also knows the answer perhaps. So does Pervez certainly.
Even as demagogue Musharraf does not want to be a desperado.
For all one knows the day he hands over military command he may be kicked out as President.
What better chance to do it than when he was asked to visit Mumbai prior to the state assembly elections in Maharashtra due October 13. He is to be out in the state campaigning for his ruling party . On October 6 he opened the front with India Inc. addressing a news conference in Mumbai. After all, who must address India Inc. but Manmohan Singh?
A Press Trust of India report quoted him saying that in face of the corporate sector’s opposition to job reservation, P.M. Manmohan Singh advised them to initiate steps in this regard voluntarily. If big business did not “volunteer” on its own, he warned it would be difficult for it to oppose a “national policy”.
“Nobody can oppose an idea, whose time has come,” he declared at the conference, saying “those opposing the move will not be able to do so once a national policy is put in place.”
Holding India Inc. down thus, he however ruled out immediate policy in this regard.
The politics speak clearly. But before Manmohan Singh takes to politics, the reformist guru may consider the following.
Are jobs to be created? Or is it that they can be reserved?
What about growth? Growth can create jobs. Job reservation can stifle growth itself.
Whose idea is it of a “national policy” of job reservation?
Mr. Chidamabaram’s striking at it may seem axiomatic. Why not makes a growing industry pay the exchequer? And why not when all in the world are benefiting by it? And yet why not when the industry is making a whirlwind by becoming a world phenomenon?
Sounds logical. But look at the reality. The logic then would look the other way round. Which is to let the industry thrive, to let it employ more and also spread employment far and wide, to let it create new resources in work and workmanship, and to let it add to gross domestic product as well as the country’s foreign exchange kitty.
Particularly since the industry has sprung up from nowhere, found its roots by itself, added to its achievements year after year, and now become an apple of all eyes in the world, while in a spirit of globalisation enveloping the planet it has put the country on the world map like no industry did before.
Why must such an industry be put on a par with other industries in tax laws is a question Mr. Chidambaram needs to ponder.
For this is what Mr. Chidambaram has done in putting approval to the CBDT’s circular on IT industry in regard to its now rapidly increasing Business Process Offshore (BPO) activity as follows.
“If there is no business connection (between the outside business and the locally established unit),” so says the circular, “the resident entity will not be a Permanent Establishment of the non-resident entity.” In such cases, explains the circular, the Indian BPO unit will be assessed to Income Tax as a “separate entity”.
If, however, the non-resident firm does have a “business connection” with the resident Indian Company, it will be treated as a PE of the non-resident entity. Once a unit is established as a PE, says the circular, “the non-resident entity or the foreign company will be liable to tax in India”.
Pay taxes in India on business you do in India is the rationale of the CBDT’s circular on which as finance minister Mr. Chidambaram has signed his approval.
There appears nothing wrong on face of it. But not when, apart from the things said above about the industry, one considers that the enterprise is so closely tied in the world, continuously copes with changes occurring rapidly, and is constantly challenged by increasing competition from other countries.
Let it build upon its success can be one attitude of the powers-that-be. Make it pay while
it shines can be another attitude of those in authority.
A typical finance minister, Mr. Chidambaram has followed attitude two.
So India’s finance minister, Mr. P. Chidambaram, caused a surprise when on August 18, eight days before Parliament was due to pass the 2004-2005 budget he had presented in the preceding month, he announced a cut in fuel taxes. He halved the customs duty on imported kerosene, a household fuel, to 5 per cent, and reduced the excise duty on petrol and diesel respectively from 26 and 11 per cent to 23 and 8 per cent.
The tax cuts to result in consumer prices to drop caused instant alarm bells of revenue loss to the government as well as of its revenue deficit (the difference in spending and income) rising. Both these were anathema to the finance minister and especially since when he presented the budget he pledged to wipe out the government’s revenue deficit put at 4.6 per cent this year by 2008.
Chidmbaram took the uncommon step, as he was obliged to in order to fight inflation. Inflation rate in India currently is reached a three-year high and risen still in the last two weeks from 7.6 per cent to 7.8 per cent.
However, inflation is measured in India, not by consumer prices, but by wholesale prices. It is also a key factor equating dearness allowance (part of salaries) of government servants. These not only constitute the bureaucracy. They also belong to defense and railways as well as state enterprises and nationalized banks and life and general insurance.
But inflation also affects the country’s growth, which is increasing in India, and which is furthered by lowered interest rates.
Cut in taxes was a way out to contain inflation in the circumstances.
But consider the position from the side of the economy.
Revenue loss on account of cuts made in fuel taxes is officially put at Rs.25 billion ($540 million). India’s top refiner, the Indian Oil Corporation, which is in the public sector, expects crude oil imports in the current year to rise by 11 per cent, as demand this year is to increase by 4 per cent more. Crude oil imports actually went up 23 per cent in July itself. Increased imports could mean more government revenue even when the import duty on kerosene is cut.
Excise, on he other hand, is an indirect tax levied on sales. Manufacturing costs of which energy is an important element contribute much to inflation. In energy billing industries’ grouse is of overcharging by the public sector Oil and Natural Gas Commission, whose costs though lower are equated to high international oil prices to which its selling rates are fixed.
Where the rub in inflation lies is then not much in question.
But Chidambaram can be washing his hands of it. For oil and petroleum products lie in the realm of another ministry.
So much for accountability made one of the planks by Prime Minister, Mr. Manmohan Singh, of the present government.
This is the case particularly with the British press. Even the specialized business paper, Financial Times, has made this its preference. This is, nevertheless, simply indulgence, even erroneous. Especially when seen in the backdrop of how credulity still infects minds of people of that country, on one hand, and its strife in recent years to claim its place in world comity, on the other.
The worst of it can be that the new rulers can imagine it as a loud acclaim of them by international opinion.
The affliction appears to be inflicting the new rulers en masse in barely three months of their ascending to power (gaddi).
Minister for Railways in the Railway Budget presented in July announced the setting up of a new multi-million-rupee axle plant for the network in Bihar to which state of the Union he belongs.
A few days back he went further to open recruitment of some hundred thousand people in the railways.
Great, one may say. But not when the Railway Board comprising experts and constituting the policy body for the network had expressly told the minister that a new axle plant was not wanted for the railways. Furthermore, the Indian railways are regarded as the single largest employer in the world while 60 per cent of the railway budget comprises staff’s expenses.
But as deliverer the minister must turn towards his people!
Minister for Human Resources, perhaps taking a cue from his predecessor in the outgoing government and possibly in order to do one better, is set out to rewriting curriculum and course of studies and textbooks in schools and colleges as well as rules for admission into advanced management institutions. The rewriting is not by way of annulling what his predecessor did, but to what he thinks is right and proper.
In other words, the educational order that existed is to lie buried.
This is regardless of what the Prime Minister thinks of it, or whether it is the agreed common program of the parties in the government and others, like the communists, who are supporting the government from outside.
Minister of State for Home (second ranking to the Cabinet minister) caused ripples to rise over deployment of Special Forces to address acts of terrorism by groups of separatists in sensitive Manipur State in the northeast. He did this by making three different and mutually contradictory statements in ten days over the issue whereas the government at the center dispatched him to deal with the disturbances occurred in the state.
The state’s chief minister, who belongs to Congress Party, meanwhile compounded the absurdity of the central minister by announcing withdrawal of the Special Forces from the capital city Imphal and declared they would be pulled out of the state all together. This notwithstanding that whether to deploy the forces or not who fall under its authority is for the Central Government to decide.
Meanwhile, the disturbances, which followed alleged rape and killing of a 32-year-old woman by some men of the Special Forces, took the extreme turn in an explosion occurring in a movie house and resulting in death of some people and incidents of violence elsewhere.
The latest on Manipur after the country celebrated its 57th Independence Day on August 15 was that the Central Government was to decide imposing the President’s rule on the state. Pending proclamation of this, the Central Government is asking the state’s chief minister to bring the Special Forces back in place.
The above incidents of governance by the post-election rulers occurred barely in three months of their assuming power show how their iconic imaging has come to rest heavily on their minds.